Agricultural Border Displacement as a Consequence of Climate Change. Case: Coffee in Colombia
Ricardo Camacho Castilla & Daniel Paez Barajas
In this document, an estimation of the agricultural border displacement of coffee crops in Colombia due to climate change is proposed. The methodology applied integrates subsoil pH and salinity, elevation, temperature, and rainfall to analyze areal disposal of the studied crop. With the integration of GIS and the A2 scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR4 report, the climate change is modeled. Three years were selected for the study: 2008, 2040, and 2099. Using ESRIIs ArcGIS 10.2, the potential coffee growing areas were determined for each year based on five different parameters studied. It is concluded that in general in Colombia, climate change would boost the potential growing areas of the coffee, although in some small regions it would be decreased.
Event: Annual World Bank Conference on Land and Poverty 2015
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