Climatic Anomalies and Conflicts: The Role of Tenure Security on Land Disputes

Salvatore Di Falco, Marcella Veronesi

Recent literature presents robust evidence that deviations from normal rainfall increase the occurrence of human conflicts. We explore the role of rainfall anomalies on one important, yet underexplored, type of social conflicts: land disputes. In addition, we investigate whether providing property rights via land certification may offset the effect of rainfall anomalies on social conflicts. Our identification strategy relies on both the exogenous variation in climatic factors and a natural experiment of a randomly assigned land certification program in Ethiopia. We find that farm-households with secure land tenure are more resilient to rainfall anomalies than farm-households without tenure security.

Event: Annual World Bank Conference on Land and Poverty 2015

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Document type:Climatic Anomalies and Conflicts: The Role of Tenure Security on Land Disputes (2294 kB - pdf)