System Dynamics model for preventing land expropriation conflict (LEC): The case ofWuhan city

Lu Zhang, Shukui Tan, Qiaowen Lin

Land expropriation conflict (LEC) shall be such a gradual procedure from land expropriation risk, to the contradiction in land expropriation and then the LEC. The prevention on LEC shall also be such a complex system problem, in this study it depends on entropy principle to interpret the cutting process of the energy in LEC, and construct the system dynamics model for preventive measures of LEC. Then it analyzes the evolution and prevention process of LEC by taking Wuhan as example. The studies shown that, the prevention on LEC shall be the process with the interaction between positive entropy and negative entropy, such preventive system meets the dissipation structure characteristics. When the negative entropy input was quite low and it cannot inhibit the increase of positive entropy, the probability of land expropriation shall increase accordingly. When the negative entropy input was so far higher than the growth rate of positive entropy, the prevention system shall turn from the chaos state into the ordered state in time, space or function aspect, the whole land expropriation system then will settle out accordingly. Meanwhile, it shall also be the effective measures to inhibit and prevent the occurrence of land expropriation by improving the local government’s ability in land expropriation, reinforcing the organization and management on land expropriation process, completing the policy system and system guarantee for land expropriation, smoothing the relief channel for land expropriation contradiction etc.

Event: Land Governance in an Interconnected World_Annual World Bank Conference on Land and Poverty_2018

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Document type:System Dynamics model for preventing land expropriation conflict (LEC): The case ofWuhan city (10 kB - pdf)