What Challenges Does Rapid Urbanisation Raise For Land And Property Rights?
Anna Locke, Giles Henley
The worldds urban population is expected to rise by 2.7 billion between 2010 and 2050, from 3.6 billion to 6.3 billion (Lucci 2014), taking it from over half of the worldds current population to about two thirds by 2050 (Ncube, M. 2012; UN DESA), 2012). This share is forecast to increase over coming decades, reaching about two thirds by 2050. Nearly 90% of this growth is likely to be concentrated in developing countries. In the developing world, Africa has experienced the highest urban growth during the last two decades, at 3.5% per year, and this rate of growth is expected to continue into 2050 (Ncube, M. 2012). By contrast, the population of rural areas in developing countries is forecast to flat line and slowly decline from 2021 onwards (Lucci 2014). The majority of people in the world and in developing countries still live in a large number of smaller urban centres with fewer than 500,000 inhabitants (UN DESA, 2012 in Lucci 2014). Recent research (McKinsey Global Institute 2011) indicates that just under 580 mid-sized cities (with populations of between 150,000 and ten million) will contribute more than half of global growth in urban concentrations to 2025. In the case of developing countries, these smaller cities often have poor services and receive little attention and resources from local policymakerss (Lucci 2014).
Event: Annual World Bank Conference on Land and Poverty 2015
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